Pre-tourney Rankings
Florida Atlantic
Sun Belt
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.4#208
Expected Predictive Rating-3.1#217
Pace65.3#227
Improvement-4.1#308

Offense
Total Offense-1.6#220
Improvement-2.7#293

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#194
Improvement-1.3#231
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2011 286   Portland L 65-70 69%     0 - 1 -12.3 -10.3 -2.2
  Nov 13, 2011 67   @ Washington L 71-77 12%     0 - 2 +4.6 -6.0 +11.4
  Nov 14, 2011 98   Georgia St. W 84-77 24%     1 - 2 +12.0 +20.4 -8.1
  Nov 16, 2011 174   @ American L 56-62 30%     1 - 3 -3.1 -14.2 +11.1
  Nov 19, 2011 112   George Mason W 80-75 OT 39%     2 - 3 +5.6 +4.5 +0.9
  Nov 22, 2011 218   @ Hofstra W 62-60 40%     3 - 3 +2.3 -3.9 +6.4
  Nov 26, 2011 55   @ South Florida L 55-68 10%     3 - 4 -1.5 -0.4 -2.9
  Nov 30, 2011 5   @ Kansas L 54-77 2%     3 - 5 -1.2 -12.2 +12.7
  Dec 13, 2011 70   @ Mississippi St. L 68-75 12%     3 - 6 +3.3 +0.9 +2.1
  Dec 17, 2011 41   Miami (FL) L 90-93 2OT 14%     3 - 7 +6.4 +9.0 -2.2
  Dec 22, 2011 49   @ Harvard L 51-63 10%     3 - 8 -0.1 -5.3 +2.8
  Dec 28, 2011 233   Siena L 60-67 68%     3 - 9 -14.3 -16.2 +2.0
  Dec 31, 2011 198   @ Louisiana L 55-67 35%     3 - 10 0 - 1 -10.5 -7.4 -4.1
  Jan 05, 2012 309   Louisiana Monroe W 58-30 86%     4 - 10 1 - 1 +14.1 -5.4 +28.0
  Jan 07, 2012 183   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 38-40 32%     4 - 11 1 - 2 +0.4 -24.0 +23.9
  Jan 09, 2012 193   @ Arkansas St. W 58-50 35%     5 - 11 2 - 2 +9.7 -6.3 +17.3
  Jan 14, 2012 54   Middle Tennessee L 54-67 25%     5 - 12 2 - 3 -8.2 -12.5 +3.6
  Jan 19, 2012 267   @ Troy W 88-67 52%     6 - 12 3 - 3 +18.2 +5.4 +11.9
  Jan 21, 2012 231   @ Florida International W 66-64 43%     7 - 12 4 - 3 +1.6 +3.9 -2.0
  Jan 26, 2012 188   Western Kentucky W 67-66 60%     8 - 12 5 - 3 -3.9 -3.9 +0.1
  Feb 02, 2012 205   @ South Alabama L 56-65 36%     8 - 13 5 - 4 -7.7 -10.5 +1.9
  Feb 04, 2012 231   Florida International L 56-76 68%     8 - 14 5 - 5 -27.2 -17.1 -11.2
  Feb 09, 2012 79   Denver W 72-71 30%     9 - 14 6 - 5 +4.0 +9.2 -5.1
  Feb 11, 2012 159   North Texas W 86-81 2OT 52%     10 - 14 7 - 5 +2.3 -8.5 +9.5
  Feb 16, 2012 188   @ Western Kentucky L 57-64 34%     10 - 15 7 - 6 -5.1 -10.5 +5.1
  Feb 18, 2012 54   @ Middle Tennessee L 59-72 10%     10 - 16 7 - 7 -1.4 -3.9 +1.9
  Feb 23, 2012 205   South Alabama L 76-79 OT 62%     10 - 17 7 - 8 -8.5 -4.0 -4.3
  Feb 25, 2012 267   Troy L 82-83 76%     10 - 18 7 - 9 -10.6 +2.9 -13.5
  Mar 03, 2012 193   Arkansas St. L 55-70 47%     10 - 19 -16.7 -13.6 -4.8
Projected Record 10.0 - 19.0 7.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9 100.0% 100.0
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%